Tag Archives: Unemployment

Couldn’t Jindal Compromise?

Reihan’s defense of Bobby Jindal has some plausibility–it’s a good counterpoint to some very strong denunciations of Jindal.  Reihan argues that Jindal is worried that the increased unemployment benefits would become permanent because of “loss aversion, and the difficulties involved in phasing out new spending,” therefore leading to higher taxes in the long-term.

These are potentially important concerns, worth keeping in mind on any issue where there is temporary spending.  However, as we’re seeing with the Bush tax cuts, there’s a lot of potential for sunset clauses.  The Bush tax cuts were never really meant to expire in 2010, but it looks like they’ll do just that.  Given that the federal government is the source of the money for unemployment benefits, extending those benefits would require a conscious effort by Louisiana legislators.  While I couldn’t get exact information, I take it Louisiana has some sort of balanced budget requirement, which would make the unemployment benefits even less likely to tie the state’s hands.

None of this is a guarantee, but it makes it hard to see what Jindal could be so worried about.  It’s hard to see how anything could ever get done with the implicit level of paranoia about government spending.

Put another way, it seems as if Jindal is assuming the government will produce the worst possible result here.  But it’s not as if he’s a passive participant in that process.  He has a great amount of influence, and he’s settling for something that’s far from the best solution.  Bear in mind that increased unemployment benefits are probably some of the absolute best measures for stimulating the economy.  Even granting that Jindal’s worries have merit, there’s a substantial cost to his decision.

Bad News

The nation’s employers shed 533,000 jobs in November, the 11th consecutive monthly decline, the Bureau of Labor Statistics reported Friday. Not since December 1974, toward the end of a severe recession, have so many jobs disappeared in a single month, and the current recession appears to be just gathering steam (NYTimes).

Just yesterday, I read this from Krugman:

We’ll see what tomorrow’s employment report says, but we could well be losing jobs at a rate of 450,000 or 500,000 a month….will it, in fact, even be possible to pull the economy out of its nosedive before unemployment goes into double digits? I’m starting to wonder.

Note that the report is worse than Krugman’s pessimistic scenario.